The race gets more interesting

The failure of Avatar to get the gongs at the two guild award presentations in Hollywood in recent days has made the contest for the Best Picture Oscar a much more interesting affair. Avatar is still favoured on the Crikey Oscar Indicator as a 49% probability of winning but The Hurt Locker has now improved to be given a 27% chance with Up in the Air on 9% and Inglourious Basterds at 5%. As someone who hates sci-fi films, even if they have a political message, I’m punting on The Hurt Locker.

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