Blown off course

They have hardly begun a race that takes nearly three weeks to complete but the Australian cyclist Cadel Evans' chances of winning the Tour de France have drifted considerably. After this morning's leg where American Lance Armstrong managed to stick with the break away group but Evans did not, the Australian, who has finished second in the last two tours, is out to a 6% chance in the Crikey Tour de France Indicator. Armstrong has shortened in to be rated a 17% prospect. The firm favourite remains Alberto Contador Velasco rated a 50% chance of victory. The Tour Indicator will be updated every morning in the Breakfast Media Wrap which Richard Farmer writes for Crikey

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